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Topic: Internazionale vs Lazio - Serie A Rnd.17 20/12/15 19:45  (Read 130 times)

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    Timeline
    Head-to-Head in the last 3 years
    Date   Home   Away
    2015-05-10
    14/15
    Lazio 1-2 Inter
    2014-12-21
    14/15
    Inter 2-2 Lazio
    2014-05-10
    13/14
    Inter 4-1 Lazio
    2014-01-06
    13/14
    Lazio 1-0 Inter
    2013-05-08
    12/13
    Inter 1-3 Lazio
    2012-12-15
    12/13
    Lazio 1-0 Inter
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    Stats » Serie A Italy » Internazionale vs Lazio

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    • Posts: 151477
      Analysis: Internazionale vs Lazio (20 December 2015)
      « Reply #1 on: December 18 2015, 15:28 »

      Internazionale and Lazio meet at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, in a match for the 17th round of the Serie A. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 5 matches. However, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 21‑12‑2014, in a match for the Serie A, they tied (2‑2). The goals of the match were scored by M. Kovačić (66' ) and R. Palacio (80' ), for Internazionale, and by Felipe Anderson (2' and 37' ), for Lazio. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, since Lazio presents significant differences between home and away performances.

      Analysis of Inter

      The home team is currently in the 1st position of the league, with 36 points won, after 11 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Genoa, by (1‑0). In the last match, they won in an away match against Udinese, by (0‑4). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 18 goals scored and 15 conceded; against 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 26 goals scored and 17 conceded. They come to this match after a home win against Cagliari by (3‑0). For the league, Internazionale won 19 points out of 24 possible points, after 6 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 8 home matches.

      They haven’t lost any of the last 4 home matches for this competition. There are a few recurrent results in their home matches: at half‑time 0‑0 (5 out of 8 matches) and after the 90' 1‑0 (5 out of 8 matches). They have presented defensive consistency, since they have only suffered goals in 3 of the last 10 matches, and their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches for this competition there is a tendency for few goals, since 6 of the last 8 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 12 of the last 16 matches for the Serie A, they have reached half‑time in front in 6 of those 12 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 11 of them.

      Inter Milan comes to this match motivated by a 3-0 win over Cagliari, in a match for the Italian Cup, with goals by Palacio, Brozovix and Perisic. Coach Roberto Mancini should use the usual 4-2-3-1 formation, with Icardi as the main offensive reference. The Argentinean is the best scorer of the team, with 6 goals scored. Ranocchia and Nemanja Vidic are still absent, due to injuries.

      Analysis of Lazio

      The away team is currently in the 12th position of the league, with 20 points won, after 6 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Juventus, by (0‑2). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Sampdoria, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in away matches, with 13 goals scored and 32 conceded; against 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 26 goals scored and 14 conceded. In their last match, for the Coppa Italia, they got a home win against Udinese by (2‑1). Their last away match was for the UEFA Europa League and ended in a draw by (1‑1) against Saint‑Étienne. In the last 7 away league matches Lazio has a record of 1 win and 6 losses, so they have won 3 points out of 21 possible.

      In this competition, they have a sequence of 4 losses in the last away matches. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 1‑0 (4 out of 7 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 16 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Lazio comes this match after a 2-1 win over Udinese, in a match for the Italian Cup,with goals by Matri and Cataldi. Despite this win, Lazio has had a few problems this season, so we expect coach Stefano Pioli to present a defensive strategy to try to get at least a point. Absent in this match are Kishna, Marchetti, Baldé, Gentiletti, Basta, Lulic and Stefan de Vrij.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario is that Inter Milan will win. Lazio is going through a negative moment and doesn’t seem to have enough arguments to win this away match. Moreover, they should present higher accumulated fatigue levels than Milan. Therefore, we expect Mancini’s team to confirm their best moment and get the 3 points in this home match.


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