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Topic: Chelsea vs Burnley - Premier League Rnd.3 27/08/16 15:00  (Read 84 times)

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    Head-to-Head in the last 3 years
    Date   Home   Away
    2015-02-21
    14/15
    Chelsea 1-1 Burnley
    2014-08-18
    14/15
    Burnley 1-3 Chelsea
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    Stats » Premier League England » Chelsea vs Burnley

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    • Posts: 153900
      Analysis: Chelsea vs Burnley (27 August 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: August 25 2016, 10:22 »

      Chelsea and Burnley face at Stamford Bridge, in a match for the 3rd round of the Premier League. In the last 3 years these teams met twice: the earliest head‑to‑head was played on 21‑02‑2015 and ended in a (1‑1) draw, and the latest on 18‑08‑2014, which ended in a (1‑3) win by Chelsea. Burnley registers significant differences between home and away results, so special attention is due to the home/away factor.

      Analysis of Chelsea

      Currently in the 4th position of the league, the home team has conquered 6 points so far. In the 1st round, they won at home against West Ham United by (2‑1). In the following round, the final score was a (1‑2) win in an away match against Watford. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses in away matches, with 30 goals scored and 21 conceded; against 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 31 goals scored and 22 conceded. In their last match, for the League Cup, they got a home win against Bristol Rovers by (3‑2). In the last 10 home matches Chelsea has won 4, tied 4 and lost 2. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 24 of the last 27 matches have ended with Over 1,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 5 of their 15 matches, and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Chelsea comes motivated for this match after a home win, by 3-2 against Bristol, counting for the League Cup: Batshuayi and Moses scored the winning goals. The home team did a very interesting pre-season, and recorded several victories. Note that Chelsea was in the 10th position last season, so this season they’ll want to do better. The home team usually acts in a tactical system in 4-3-3, favoring quick transitions, especially through the flanks. Chelsea won’t count on Zouma and van Ginkel for this round of the Premier League because they’re injured.

      Analysis of Burnley

      The away team is currently in the 8th position of the league, with 3 points won. In their debut they lost in a home match against Swansea City, by (0‑1). In the second round, they won in a home match against Liverpool, by (2‑0). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 10 wins and 5 draws in away matches, with 30 goals scored and 13 conceded; against 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 20 goals scored and 5 conceded. In their last match, for the League Cup, they got an away loss against Accrington Stanley by (1‑0), after extended time. In the last 10 away matches Burnley has won 7, tied 2 and lost 1. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches.

      Burnley comes motivated for this match after a home win, by 2-0 against Liverpool: Vokes and Gray scored the goals of triumph. Note that Burnley came from the English second division last season. The visiting team often acts in a tactical system in 4-2-2, privileging the ball possession and organized attacks through the centre aisle. One of the biggest visiting team’s valences is the facility that they present in creating spaces to aim at goal from distance. The Burnley coach should have all the players available.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario for this match will be Chelsea to be winning at the first half. In addition to the home team act with the support of their fans, they still have a squad full of stars, that is, it’s foreseeable that the home team could be much higher soon in the opening minutes of the match.


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