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Topic: Porto vs Académica - Primeira Liga Rnd.14 20/12/15 20:30  (Read 114 times)

Offline Estatísticas

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    Stats » Primeira Liga Portugal » Porto vs Académica

    Offline Academia

    • Posts: 152795
      Analysis: Porto vs Académica (20 December 2015)
      « Reply #1 on: December 18 2015, 14:54 »

      Porto and Académica face at Estádio Do Dragão, in a match for the 14th round of the Primeira Liga. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 6 head‑to‑heads they won 5 and tied 1. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Primeira Liga, on 18‑04‑2015, Porto won by (1‑0). Hernâni (12' ) scored the only goal of the match.

      Analysis of Porto

      The home team is currently in the 2nd position of the league, with 33 points won, after 10 wins and 3 draws. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Paços de Ferreira, by (2‑1). In the last match, they won in an away match against Nacional, by (1‑2). In their last match, for the Taça de Portugal, they got an away win against Feirense by (0‑1). In the last 7 home league matches Porto has a record of 6 wins and 1 draw, so they have won 19 points out of 21 possible.

      In this competition, they have a sequence of 5 wins in the last matches and they haven't lost any of the last 13 matches. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have been able to score first and have done so in 10 of the last 13 matches for the Primeira Liga, they have reached half‑time in advantage in 7 of those 10 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 9 of them.

      FC Porto comes to this match motivated by a 0-1 away win over Feirense, in a match for the Portuguese Cup. In this match coach Julen Lopetegui will surely use the usual 4-3-3 formation, with striker Aboubakar in front to create panic amongst the Académica defence. The home team is aware that this is a low risk match, so FC Porto is likely to attack from the first minute. Moreover, Lopetegui has pretty much all players available, so there are no excuses not to win this match, given the quality difference between the two teams, coming from opposite ends of the standing table.

      Analysis of Académica

      The away team is currently in the 17th position of the league, with 10 points won, after 2 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Benfica, by (3‑0). In the last match, they won in a home match against Belenenses, by (4‑3). In their last match, for the Taça de Portugal, they got an away loss against Boavista by (1‑0). In the last 6 away league matches Académica has a record of 2 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 2 points out of 18 possible.

      In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 6 away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 13 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

      Académica comes to this match after having been eliminated from the Portuguese Cup by Boavista. The away team hasn’t had a great league start, but they have improved in the last rounds and won a few points. In this complicated match against one of the strongest team in the league, coach Filipe Gouveia will use the usual 4-3-3 formation, with Rafael Lopes in front, since Gonçalo Paciência, under contract by FC Porto, is unavailable for this match.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario is that there will be more than 1 goal in the 2nd half. FC Porto is likely to dominate most of the match through ball possession and create the best goal opportunities, but they usually don’t take many offensive risks, so they will attack more in the 2nd half in case they don’t score in the 1st, which is what we expect, Moreover, both teams have scored more goals in the 2nd half in the last matches.


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