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Topic: Bayern München vs Werder Bremen - Bundesliga Rnd.1 26/08/16 19:30  (Read 65 times)

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    Stats » Bundesliga Germany » Bayern München vs Werder Bremen

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      Analysis: Bayern München vs Werder Bremen (26 August 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: August 23 2016, 22:46 »

      Bayern München and Werder Bremen meet at Allianz‑Arena, in a match for the 1st round of the Bundesliga. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 6 wins in the last 6 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 19‑04‑2016, in a match for the DFB Pokal, Bayern München won by (2‑0). The goals of the match were scored by T. Müller (30' and 71' ) for Bayern München. The home advantage may play an important role in this match , since Bayern München presents significant differences between home and away results.

      Analysis of Bayern München

      This is the first match in this edition of the competition for the home team, that ended the previous edition of the lower division in the 1st position and got the promotion. This is a team that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in away matches; against 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses at their stadium. In their last match, for the DFB Pokal, they got an away win against Carl Zeiss Jena by (0‑5). In the last 10 home matches Bayern München has won 7, tied 1 and lost 2.

      Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches.

      Bayern Munich comes for this match after a win against Carl Zeiss Jena, by 0-5, in a match counting for the German Cup: the goals were scored by Lewandowski (x3), Vidal and Hummels. In this match at home the coach Carlo Ancelotti will play in the usual tactical system, that is, the 4-3-3, privileging the ball possession and organized attacks mainly through the flanks: Ribery and Muller are the main responsible for this process. For this match the coach won’t count on Coman and Badstuber, both injured, and he still doesn’t know if will count Xabi Alonso, Silva, Renato Sanches, Arjen Robben and Douglas Costa.

      Analysis of Bremen

      The away team makes its debut in this edition of the competition, after having finished 13th last season. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 27 goals scored and 27 conceded; against 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 27 goals scored and 22 conceded. In their last match, for the DFB Pokal, they got an away loss against Sportfreunde Lotte by (2‑1). In the last 10 away matches Werder Bremen has won 2, tied 3 and lost 5.

      Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 25 of the last 29 matches have ended with Over 1,5 goals and 20 out of 29 have ended with Over 2,5 goals.

      Werder Bremen comes unmotivated for this match after the defeat against Sportfreunde Lotte by 2-1: The only goal was scored by Junuzovic. Usually the visiting team plays in 4-2-3-1 favoring defensive organization and counterattacks. However, at some moments of matches the team gives privilege to long balls to attack, mainly for the forward Thy. Apparently they coach won’t count on Pizarro and Zetterer, injured, and he still has in doubt Max Kruse, Veljkovic, Santiago Garcia and Eilers.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario for this match will be Bayern Munich to score at least three goals. We believe that Bayern Munich will dominate much of the match and enjoy the best chances due to their technical and tactical power. Furthermore, Bremen has serious defensive weaknesses and in this match they’ll most likely to suffer a defeat. So, it’s foreseeable that this match will end like the last matches between the teams, that is, with a large advantage for the home team.

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