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Topic: Ajax vs Rostov - UEFA Champions League Play-offs 16/08/16 19:45  (Read 85 times)

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    Stats » UEFA Champions League Europe » Ajax vs Rostov

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      Analysis: Ajax vs Rostov (16 August 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: August 15 2016, 12:41 »

      Ajax and Rostov meet , in a match for this stage of the UEFA Champions League (Play‑offs). These two teams have never met before, so this will be the first head‑to‑head between them. The home advantage may play an important role in this match , since Ajax presents significant differences between home and away results.

      Analysis of Ajax

      The home team comes to this stage of the UEFA Champions League (Play‑offs) after a away win by (1‑2) and a home draw by (1‑1) against PAOK. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss in away matches, with 29 goals scored and 12 conceded; against 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 32 goals scored and 15 conceded. They come to this match after a home draw against Roda JC by (2‑2). Ajax has won 5, tied 4 and lost 1 of the last 10 home matches.

      They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in all of the last 10 matches.

      Ajax comes for this first leg of the play-offs of the Champions League after a home draw, by 2-2, against Roda: Ajax was winning twice, but couldn’t keep the advantage. The home team usually acts in a tactical system in 4-3-3, favoring quick transitions, especially through the flanks. In this drawing, the three forward players, responsible for launching the panic in the opponent’s defense are Sinkgraven, Dolberg and El Ghazi.

      Analysis of Rostov

      The away team comes to this stage of the UEFA Champions League (Play‑offs) after a away win by (0‑2) and a home draw by (2‑2) against Anderlecht. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 18 goals scored and 13 conceded; against 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 20 goals scored and 8 conceded. In their last match, for the Premier League, they got an away loss against Zenit by (3‑2). In the last 10 away matches Rostov has won 5, tied 3 and lost 2.

      Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches.

      Rostov comes motivated for this first leg of the play-offs of the Champions League after an away home defeat, by 3-2, in the visit to the Zenit’s ground: the Russian team was ahead by 0-2, but hadn’t capacity to keep their goal inviolate. Contrary to the "enemy" of this first leg, Rostov usually acts in 5-3-2, favoring defensive balance. Thus, it’s expectable that the Russian team will try to exploit direct match and the dead ball shots.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario for this match will be Rostov to win. Despite the Dutch team act at home, in these play-offs they have an obligation to win both legs, and is quite up places than the "enemy". Thus, it’s foreseeable that Ajax will control the vast majority of the match and can convert the chances they’ll have.


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