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Topic: Köln vs Borussia Dortmund - Bundesliga Rnd.17 19/12/15 14:30  (Read 114 times)

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    2015-03-14
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    Dortmund 0-0 Köln
    2014-10-18
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    Köln 2-1 Dortmund
    2013-01-28
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    Köln 1-0 Dortmund
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    Stats » Bundesliga Germany » Köln vs Borussia Dortmund

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      Analysis: Köln vs Borussia Dortmund (19 December 2015)
      « Reply #1 on: December 17 2015, 11:55 »

      Köln and Borussia Dortmund face at RheinEnergieStadion, in a match for the 17th round of the Bundesliga. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 2 wins and 1 loss in the last 3 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 18‑10‑2014, in a match for the Bundesliga, Köln won by (2‑1). The goals of the match were scored by K. Vogt (40' ) and S. Zoller (74' ), for Köln, and by C. Immobile (48' ), for Borussia Dortmund. The home advantage may play an important role in this match , since Köln presents significant differences between home and away results.

      Analysis of Köln

      The home team is currently in the 10th position of the league, with 21 points won, after 5 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Augsburg, by (0‑1). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Werder Bremen, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 21 goals scored and 21 conceded; against 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 17 goals scored and 16 conceded. In the last 8 home league matches Köln has a record of 2 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 10 points out of 24 possible.

      In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 5 home matches. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (5 out of 8 matches). In their home matches for this competition there is a tendency for few goals, since 7 of the last 8 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 16 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Köln is going through a negative moment. In the last round they had their 4th consecutive match with no wins, after the 1-1draw against Werder Bremen. Although they do have the home advantage, we expect coach Peter Stoger will present a defensive strategy, given the offensive power of Dortmund. Therefore, he should rely on counterattacks to try to surprise the away team, using the qualities of Modeste and Risse in such offensive moves. The only absence in the squad should be Leonardo Bittencourt, who is recovering from an injury.

      Analysis of Dortmund

      The away team is currently in the 2nd position of the league, with 38 points won, after 12 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Wolfsburg, by (1‑2). In the last match, they won in a home match against Eintracht Frankfurt, by (4‑1). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 32 goals scored and 22 conceded; against 13 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss at their stadium, with 55 goals scored and 13 conceded. In their last match, for the DFB Pokal, they got an away win against Augsburg by (0‑2). In the last 8 away league matches Borussia Dortmund has a record of 5 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, so they have won 16 points out of 24 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 6 of the last 8 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 16 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times but have turned the score around in 2.

      Coach Thomas Tuchel comes to this match after 3 consecutive wins in the German league, the latest against Eintracht Frankfurt, by 4-1. They should play as they have done lately, that is, with short passes, constant off ball movements and fast counterattacks. One player clear stands out, the team’s best scorer Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang. In this match Tuchel will not be able to count on Nuri Sahin, Marco Reus and Erik Durm, who are recovering from injuries.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario is that there won’t be many goals in this match. We expect a balanced match, dominated by Borussia Dortmund, that should create the best goal opportunities. However, Dortmund has a few important absences and the last head-to-heads at this stadium have ended with few goals.


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