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Topic: Univ. Concepción vs Bolívar - Copa Sudamericana 1st Round 10/08/16 23:00  (Read 147 times)

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    Stats » Copa Sudamericana South America » Univ. Concepción vs Bolívar

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      Analysis: Univ. Concepción vs Bolívar (10 August 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: August 08 2016, 11:13 »

      Univ. Concepción and Bolívar meet , in a match for this stage of the Copa Sudamericana (1st Round). There is no recent record of official head‑to‑heads between these two teams. The last head‑to‑head was played on 19‑10‑2004 and ended with the final score: Bolívar (4‑2) Univ. Concepción. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

      Analysis of Univ. Concepción

      The home team plays its first match in this edition of the Copa Sudamericana with the intention of using the home advantage to get a positive result. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses in away matches; against 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses at their stadium. They come to this match after a home win against Palestino by (1‑0). Univ. Concepción has won 7 and lost 3 of the last 10 home matches.

      Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have only turned the score around in 2. In the last 20 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 12 of their 32 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      It’s important to note that University of Concepcion for the First Division 2016/17 played two matches so far, having won the first at home by 1-0 against Palestine, and in their second match they suffered a defeat by 3-0 against Union Espanola, away home. Thus it’s possible to see that the team has switched their results and has shown more defensive fragility than a good offensive performance; however, at home they won their only match to date. Remember that to reach this competition the team finished with the 2nd best score in the season 2015/16.

      Analysis of Bolívar

      The team plays its first match in this edition of the Copa Sudamericana with the intention of getting a positive away result. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 20 goals scored and 29 conceded; against 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 21 goals scored and 11 conceded. In their last match, for the LFPB, they got a home loss against Sport Boys by (0‑1). In the last 10 away matches Bolívar has won 1, tied 4 and lost 5.

      Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 23 of the last 25 matches have ended with Over 1,5 goals and 19 out of 25 have ended with Over 2,5 goals.

      It’s important to observe the performance of Bolivar in away home matches for the First Bolivian Division, where they played eleven matches, having won seven, drawn one and lost three, that is, they conquered mostly wins. Playing in these conditions in their last ten matches they got an average of 1.50 goals scored and an average of 1.90 goals conceded, demonstrating that despite their offensive sector to be working, the defensive one is lacking. Remember that to reach this competition, Bolivar finished as best 4th placed of the Clausura Tournament in 2015.

      Betting suggestion:

      In this match for the South American, University Concepcion will play at home, where in general has been getting better results, out of the fact that comes after a win in their only match played so far for the First Division 2016/17.
      The visiting team, playing away home finds major difficulties; however, they proved to be offensive and at the same time they demonstrated weaknesses in their defensive sector. In this way, it’s foreseeable a match with some more open times and likely to goals.


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