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Topic: Vitória Guimarães vs Porto - Club Friendlies 31/07/16 20:00  (Read 128 times)

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    Stats » Club Friendlies World » Vitória Guimarães vs Porto

    Offline Academia

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      Analysis: Vitória Guimarães vs Porto (31 July 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: July 31 2016, 09:55 »

      Vitória Guimarães and FC Porto will match at Dom Afonso Henriques Stadium, in a match counting for the Guimarães City trophy. This will be the 3rd of the year for Guimarães, after the previous played against Boavista and Rio Ave. In the case of Porto, this is their 6th friendly of the year, having already faced Bayer Leverkusen, Vitesse, PSV, Osnabrück and River Ave. The historic of recent direct confrontations supports the visiting team, once they recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in the last 10 matches. The last direct confrontation between these two teams, 17/01/2016, ended with Guimarães’s victory by 1-0. In this match the home factor may play an important role, once that Porto has significant differences in the results achieved at home and as a visiting team.

      Analysis of Vitória Guimarães

      The home team plays its 3rd friendly match of the year. In the previous friendly matches they registered the following final scores: Boavista (1‑1) Vitória Guimarães and Vitória Guimarães (3‑2) Rio Ave. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in away matches; against 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 home matches Vitória Guimarães has won 4, tied 5 and lost 1.

      Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches.

      Victory comes for this match after a draw against Boavista, by 1-1, so adding the third consecutive match unbeaten in friendly matches: Gonçalo scored the only goal of the team. In this match the coach Pedro Martins must line up in the usual 4-2-3-1 favoring defensive organization and counterattacks, mainly through the flanks: Ricardo Valente is one of the main responsible for this type of transition. Marega can be one of the good news of the team, being a player that faces his ex-team. Apparently the coach won’t count on Tiquinho Soares and Alex, both injured.

      Analysis of Porto

      The away team plays its 6th friendly match of the year. In the previous friendly matches they registered the following final scores: Bayer Leverkusen (1‑1) Porto, Vitesse (1‑2) Porto, PSV (3‑0) Porto, Osnabrück (1‑2) Porto and Porto (1‑1) Rio Ave. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in away matches, with 22 goals scored and 19 conceded; against 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 27 goals scored and 19 conceded. In the last 4 Club Friendlies away matches Porto has a record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss.

      Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of the last 5 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 4 of the last 5 matches for this competition.

      FC Porto comes for this match after a draw by 1-1 against Bayer Leverkusen, in a match in which André Silva scored the only goal of the team. In this match the coach Nuno Espírito Santo must maintain the usual 4-3-3 with André Silva as the forward player of Portuguese team. However, it’s important to note that FC Porto has shown some weaknesses in defensive transition and the defensive dead balls. The good news for the blue and white is the Danilo Pereira’s return to work, a player who was European champion for Portugal. In this match the Portuguese coach must do major changes in the team compared to the last match; however, he shouldn’t count on Josué, Quintero and Hernani, players that solve their future at the team.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario for this match will be the victory of FC Porto. We believe the visiting team will beat with some difficulty Vitória Guimarães as they have a top squad compared to their opponent. Besides, the lack of quality of Vitória and the lack of communication of their players will be crucial to the outcome of this match in favor of FC Porto.
      So, a bet in favor of the Dragons in this match, a team that is in a more advanced stage of the pre-season, is of great value.


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