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Topic: Independiente del Valle vs Atlético Nacional - Copa Libertadores Finals 21/07/16 01:45  (Read 92 times)

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    Stats » Copa Libertadores South America » Independiente del Valle vs Atlético Nacional

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      Independiente Valle and Atlético Nacional face at Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, in a match for this stage of the Copa Libertadores (Finals). These two teams have never met before, so this will be the first head‑to‑head between them. The home advantage may play an important role in this match , since Independiente Valle presents significant differences between home and away results.

      Analysis of Ind. del Valle

      The home team comes to this stage of the Copa Libertadores (Finals) after having played in the previous rounds against: Boca Juniors, Pumas and River Plate. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in away matches; against 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses at their stadium. They come to this match after a away loss against El Nacional by (5‑2). Independiente Valle registers 6 wins and 1 draw in the last 7 home matches for the Copa Libertadores.

      They have won the last 5 home matches and haven't lost any of the last 7 home matches for this competition. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, as 24 of the last 28 have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In 14 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 7 times, but have turned the score around in 3.

      Independiente del Valle heads into this match after a 1-1 draw against LDU Quito, in a match were Leon scored their only goal. In this first match of the final, coach Pablo Repetto should play in their usual 4-4-2 formation, prioritising ball possession and attacks through the wings. They have a lot of strength in their wings, as Julio Angulo and Bryan Cabezas have a lot of speed. Junior Sornoza and Jose Angulo each have 6 goals in this competition. They should have the same starting eleven as they had in the semifinals.

      Analysis of Atl. Nacional

      The away team comes to this stage of the Copa Libertadores (Finals) after havinf played in the previous rounds against: São Paulo, Rosario Central and Huracán. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 22 goals scored and 16 conceded; against 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 34 goals scored and 15 conceded. In their last match, for the Primera A, they got a home tie against Deportes Tolima by (2‑2). In the last 6 Copa Libertadores away matches Atlético Nacional has a record of 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition.

      Atletico Nacional heads into this match after a 2-2 draw against Deportes Tolima, in a match for the Colombian League. Rescaldani scored both of their goals. Coach Reinaldo Rueda should play with a defensive strategy, looking for counter attacks. Orlando Berrio is a very fast player and great in this kind of transition. Alejandro Guerra is also the best scorer of the team, with 3 goals. For this match, they will be without Alexander Mejia, who is suspended.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most probable scenario for this match will be for both teams to score at least one goal. We believe this will be an open match, with scoring chances for both teams, as they both have very quick offensive players. Independiente del Valle has weaknesses in their defense and in this match, they should concede, and Atletico Nacional has a good defensive line, that concedes when they are under pressure. So we believe a bet towards the over will be of great value.


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