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Topic: Sunderland vs Watford - Premier League Rnd.16 12/12/15 15:00  (Read 83 times)

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    Stats » Premier League England » Sunderland vs Watford

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    • Posts: 151625
      Analysis: Sunderland vs Watford (12 December 2015)
      « Reply #1 on: December 11 2015, 11:55 »

      Sunderland and Watford face at Stadium of Light, in a match for the 16th round of the Premier League. There is no recent record of official head‑to‑heads between these two teams. The last head‑to‑head was played on 12‑02‑2005 and ended with the final score: Sunderland (4‑2) Watford. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

      Analysis of Sunderland

      The home team is currently in the 19th position of the league, with 12 points won, after 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Stoke City, by (2‑0). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Arsenal, by (3‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 1 draw and 10 losses in away matches, with 17 goals scored and 33 conceded; against 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 20 goals scored and 24 conceded. For the league, Sunderland won 8 points out of 21 possible points, after 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 7 home matches. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑0 (3 out of 7 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 15 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 10 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 20 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 10 of their 27 goals between minutes (31'‑45').

      Despite the loss against Arsenal, Sunderland come motivated to this match against Watford, once that in the last home match they won Stoke by 2-0. To this match, the coach Sam Allardyce will choose to usual 5-4-1 with a more defensive approach and successive counterattacks. Watmore is brilliant in this type of transition. Fletcher was injured last match and he is in doubt to this one. 

      Analysis of Watford

      The away team is currently in the 10th position of the league, with 22 points won, after 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Aston Villa, by (2‑3). In the last match, they won in a home match against Norwich City, by (2‑0). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 27 goals scored and 16 conceded; against 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 15 goals scored and 10 conceded. In the last 7 away league matches Watford has a record of 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 11 points out of 21 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 25 of the last 28 matches have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In 15 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

      Watford come motivated to this match due to the two consecutive victories to the championship, against Aston Villa and Norwich. In this match, the coach Quique Flores will choose the 4-4-2 approach, with Deeney and Ighalo as the forwards of the team. The nigerian Ighalo is the best scorer of the team with 9 goals scored. The confirmed absences to this match by physical problems are Ekstrand, Prodl and Hoban. 

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario to this match will be the occurrence of under 2 goals. This match will be between two teams with very similar styles of play. For this reason, it's foreseen a very balanced match and with some closed game moments. 
      So, due to the balance of both teams, it's expected a match with slight goals on the scoreboard. 


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