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Topic: Crystal Palace vs Southampton - Premier League Rnd.16 12/12/15 15:00  (Read 96 times)

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    Stats » Premier League England » Crystal Palace vs Southampton

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      Analysis: Crystal Palace vs Southampton (12 December 2015)
      « Reply #1 on: December 09 2015, 16:09 »

      Crystal Palace and Southampton face at Selhurst Park, in a match for the 16th round of the Premier League. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the away team, since they have a record of 3 wins and 1 loss in the last 4 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 26‑12‑2014, in a match for the Premier League, Southampton won by (1‑3). The goals of the match were scored by S. Dann (86' ), for Crystal Palace, and by S. Mané (17' ), R. Bertrand (48' ) and T. Alderweireld (53' ), for Southampton. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

      Analysis of Crystal Palace

      After 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, the home team is in the 6th position, havinf won 23 points so far. In the last match, they have tied in an away match against Everton by (1‑1), after in the previous match they have won (5‑1) at home, against Newcastle United. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 29 goals scored and 19 conceded; against 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses at their stadium, with 22 goals scored and 20 conceded. In the last 8 home league matches Crystal Palace has a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, so they have won 10 points out of 24 possible. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (5 out of 8 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 7 of their 15 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 11 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 5 of their 11 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      Crystal Palace comes to this last round after an away 1-1 draw against Everton. The home team is usually very strong in offensive set pieces, making good use of the stature of some of its players. They are also very good at holding on to leads and prefer to attack through the wings. In this match Alan Pardew cannot count on Sako and Appiah, due to injuries.

      Analysis of Southampton

      The away team is currently in the 12th position of the league, with 21 points won, after 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Manchester City, by (3‑1). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Aston Villa, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 32 goals scored and 11 conceded; against 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 29 goals scored and 23 conceded. In the last 7 away league matches Southampton has a record of 2 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss, so they have won 10 points out of 21 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (4 out of 7 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 15 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Southampton comes to this match unmotivated, after a 1-1 tie in the last home match, against Aston Villa. Their biggest problem is the offense to defence transition, which is why they suffer many goals in counterattacks. Southampton doesn’t usually score many goals, despite creating many goal chances, that is, they aren’t very strong in finishing offensive moves. Coach Ronald Koeman will not be able to count on Rodriguez, Gardos and Forster, due to injuries.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario is that Crystal Palace won’t win. Despite the home advantage, Crystal Palace isn’t going through their best moment and they are up against a strong team. Therefore, we believe Southampton has got enough quality to get a positive result, surprising the home team.


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