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Topic: Samtredia vs Qabala - UEFA Europa League 1st Qualifying Round 07/07/16 16:00  (Read 72 times)

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    Head-to-Head in the last 3 years
    Date   Home   Away
    2016-06-30
    16/17
    Qəbələ 5-1 Samtredia


    Last 10 matches in all competitions
    Samtredia
    D W D 07.Jul
    Qabala W W D D D W D
    W W W 07.Jul

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    Stats » UEFA Europa League Europe » Samtredia vs Qabala

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    • Posts: 151615
      Analysis: Samtredia vs Qabala (07 July 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: July 06 2016, 17:36 »

      Samtredia and Qəbələ face at Stadioni Davit Abashidze, in a 2nd leg match for the UEFA Europa League (1st Qualifying Round), after the (5‑1) home win by Qabala in the 1st leg match. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

      Analysis of Samtredia

      Despite the 4 goals disadvantage from the 1st leg match, the home team has the advantage of having scored 1 goal in the away first leg match. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 3 matches they register 2 losses in away matches; against 1 win at their stadium.

      Samtredia has an almost impossible task to advance to the next stage of the Europe League, as in the 1st leg, away home, they were severely beaten by 5-1.
      To win a place in the next round of the competition they’ll need to win by 4-0 or by margins of five goals in the case of Qabala to reach the goal. The team knows that will unlikely reverse this situation, once that their opponent seems to be clearly superior in technical terms, so if they do a worthy match it will already be good.

      Analysis of Qəbələ

      The away team comes to this 2nd leg match with an advantage of 4 goals, but has suffered 1 goal at home in the 1st leg. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 19 goals scored and 13 conceded; against 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 28 goals scored and 14 conceded. In the last 10 away matches Qəbələ has won 6, tied 2 and lost 2. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches.

      Gabala has taken an important step towards qualification to use the home advantage for beating Samtredia by 5-1. Now, only a calamity can put them away, once that there are plenty of results that qualify them. They can lose by three goals or even four as long as they score two goals. Despite the apparent facilities, the team shouldn’t be demobilize and should continue to pursue the triumph.

      Betting suggestion:

      With a team of superior technical quality, and despite to be playing away home, the visiting team must be higher than the home team and take the main offensive actions of the match. So, we believe that Qabala will win the match or at least get a draw, and then a bet on the double chance in the visiting team seems to have great value.


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      Stats » UEFA Europa League » Samtredia vs Qəbələ