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Topic: Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro - Serie A Rnd.7 12/06/16 20:00  (Read 115 times)

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    Stats » Serie A Brazil » Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro

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    • Posts: 153283
      Analysis: Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro (12 June 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: June 09 2016, 21:32 »

      Atlético Mineiro and Cruzeiro meet at Estádio Raimundo Sampaio, in a match for the 7ª round of the Serie A. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the last 8 matches. However, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 27‑03‑2016, in a match for the Mineiro 1, Cruzeiro won by (0‑1). The only goal of the match was scored by Rafael Silva (74' ). The home advantage may play an important role in this match , since Atlético Mineiro presents significant differences between home and away results.

      Analysis of Atl. Mineiro

      After 1 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses, the home team is in the 12ª position, havinf won 7 points so far. In the last match, they have tied in an away match against Sport Recife by (4‑4), after in the previous match they have tied (1‑1) at home, against Fluminense. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 24 goals scored and 19 conceded; against 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 30 goals scored and 14 conceded. Atlético Mineiro has won 5, tied 2 and lost 3 of the last 10 home matches.

      In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 5 matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 5 of the last 6 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 5 of the last 6 matches for this competition. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 5 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

      Atletico-MG is having an average campaign in this competition and if they intend of climbing the league table, they must win at home. This should be a tough rivalry match against Cruzeiro, but their opponent is in the relegation zone and not going through a good phase, so they will look for 3 points. In the previous round, they had a draw away from home against Sport, 4-4. For this match, coach Marcelo Oliveira will be without Datolo, Luan, Clayton, Lucas Pratto and Mansur, who are injured. Cazares, Erazo and Douglas Santos got called for their national team and Leonardo Silva is questionable. They haven't recorded a win in the last 5 matches.

      Analysis of Cruzeiro

      The away team is currently in the 18ª position of the league, with 5 points won, after 1 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against o Botafogo, by (0‑1). In the last match, they lost in a home match against o São Paulo, by (0‑1). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 15 goals scored and 14 conceded; against 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 losses at their stadium, with 26 goals scored and 10 conceded. In the last 10 away matches o Cruzeiro has won 6, tied 1 and lost 3.

      Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 5 of the last 6 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 37 of the last 61 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Cruzeiro is having a terrible start and they are in the relegation zone, so if they want to stay clear of danger, they must win matches even when playing away from home. This match against their rival Atletico-MG should be very hard, as their opponent is in better form, but they will still look for the win, knowing that a draw would be a normal outcome. In their previous match, they had a 1-0 loss at home against Sao Paulo and for this match, coach Paulo Bento will be without Dede, Manoel, Marcos Vinicius, Judivan and Allano, who are injured. Also, Sanches Mino is leaving the club and won't be available for this match.

      Betting suggestion:

      With a technically superior team and playing at home, Atletico-MG is favored for this match and they should confirm this once the match starts, so a bet backing their win on the DNB market should be of great value.


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