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Topic: Atlético PR vs Santa Cruz - Serie A Rnd.6 04/06/16 20:00  (Read 108 times)

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    Stats » Serie A Brazil » Atlético PR vs Santa Cruz

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      Analysis: Atlético PR vs Santa Cruz (04 June 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: June 02 2016, 20:34 »

      Atlético‑PR and Santa Cruz meet at Estádio Joaquim Américo Guimarães, in a match for the 6ª round of the Serie A. There is no record of official head‑to‑heads between these two teams in the last 3 years. The last time they met, on 16‑09‑2006, the match ended with the final score: Atlético‑PR (2‑1) Santa Cruz. Atlético‑PR registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

      Analysis of Paranaense

      The home team is currently in the 19ª position of the league, with 4 points won, after 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Figueirense, by (2‑1). In the last match, they lost in an away match against o Internacional, by (1‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 17 goals scored and 25 conceded; against 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses at their stadium, with 30 goals scored and 10 conceded. In the last 10 home matches o Atlético‑PR has won 7, tied 2 and lost 1.

      Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of the last 5 matches for this competition. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 5 times and have only turned the score around in 1. There are 1 periods that stand out in the last 20 home matches for all competitions: they have suffered 7 of their 18 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

      Atletico-PR is having a bad campaign in this beginning of the competition and if they want to leave the relegation zone, they need wins. They will have a balanced match against Santa Cruz, after all, their opponent is fighting in the top half of the table, but playing at home, they will look for the win. In the previous round, they had a loss away from home, 1-0 against Internacional and for this match, coach Paulo Autuori will be without Eduardo (suspended) and Vilches (left the club).

      Analysis of Santa Cruz

      The away team is currently in the 5ª position of the league, with 8 points won, after 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against a Chapecoense, by (1‑1). In the last match, they lost in a home match against o Sport Recife, by (0‑1). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 14 goals scored and 11 conceded; against 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 24 goals scored and 13 conceded. In the last 10 away matches Santa Cruz has won 4, tied 5 and lost 1.

      Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of the last 5 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 4 of the last 5 matches for this competition. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 4 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 20 away matches for all competitions there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 9 of their 24 goals between minutes (76'‑90'); they have conceded 7 of their 14 goals between minutes (46'‑60').

      Santa Cruz is having a good start, as they are fighting with the leaders. If they want this trend to continue, they need points, even if playing away from home. Against Atletico-PR, away from home, they should have a balanced match, but playing against a pressured team, they will look for the win. In the last round, they had a home loss against Sport, 1-0. For this match, coach Milton Mendes will be without Wellington Cezar and Roberto.

      Betting suggestion:

      Two very offensive teams, with a lot of quality in their squads. A complicated match that points to an open match, due to these teams' playing style. We should have a good match, with scoring chances for both teams, so a bet of over 1,5 goals should be of great value.


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      Stats » Serie A » Paranaense vs Santa Cruz