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Topic: Real Madrid vs Valencia - Primera División Rnd.37 08/05/16 16:00  (Read 91 times)

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    Stats » Primera División Spain » Real Madrid vs Valencia

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      Analysis: Real Madrid vs Valencia (08 May 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: May 06 2016, 17:30 »

      Real Madrid and Valencia meet at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, in a match for the 37ª round of the Primera División. These teams have tied (2‑2) in the last head‑to‑head for this edition of the league, played on 03‑01‑2016. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 5 head‑to‑heads they won 1, tied 4 and lost 0. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Primera División, on 09‑05‑2015, they tied (2‑2). Isco (84' ) e Pepe (56' ) scored for Real Madrid and Javi Fuego (26' ) e Paco Alcácer (19' ) for Valencia. Real Madrid registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

      Analysis of Real Madrid

      After 26 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses, the home team is in the 3ª position, havinf won 84 points so far. In the last match, they have won in an away match against Real Sociedad by (0‑1), after in the previous match they have won (2‑3) an away match against Rayo Vallecano. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 24 goals scored and 17 conceded; against 14 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses at their stadium, with 65 goals scored and 8 conceded. They come to this match after a home win against Manchester City by (1‑0). For the league, Real Madrid won 27 points out of 30 possible points, after 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses in the last 10 home matches.

      Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in all of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 15 of the last 18 for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. They have been able to score first and have done so in 28 of the last 36 matches for the Primera División, they have reached half‑time in advantage in 24 of those 28 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 24 of them. They have conceded the first goal in 6 of their 36 matches for this competition, but have been able to turn the score around in 2.

      Real Madrid comes to this match after a home win over Manchester City, registering their second consecutive win. Coach Zinédine Zidane should play in the usual 4-3-3 formation, with a very offensive strategy, since they need to win to keep fighting for the Spanish title. However, in the last head-to-heads against this very same opponent, they have been struggling to win. They do count on Cristiano Ronaldo in great shape: the Portuguese forward has scored 31 goals so far this season. However, Real still has problems with defensive transitions as well as defensive set pieces. In this match Zidane will not be able to count on Nacho, who has been suspended, and there are doubts about the physical conditions of Mayoral, Benzema and Casemiro, who may not recover in time from their injuries.

      Analysis of Valencia

      The away team is currently in the 9ª position of the league, with 44 points won, after 11 wins, 11 draws and 14 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against o Getafe, by (2‑2). In the last match, they lost in a home match against o Villarreal, by (0‑2). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 18 goals scored and 21 conceded; against 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 27 goals scored and 20 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches o Valencia has a record of 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 11 points out of 30 possible.

      In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (9 out of 18 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 36 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 21 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

      Valencia comes to this match after a home loss against the Villareal, so they now register two consecutive matches with no wins. The away coach should play in the usual the usual 4-3-3 formation, but with a more defensive strategy than usual, since Real Madrid has a lot of offensive power. Valencia should prefer to attack through the wings, making good use of the quality and speed of players like Rodrigo. But they have been having problems with defensive transitions and defensive set pieces. Moreover, the away coach will not be able to count on Cheryshev, Bakkali, Gaya and André Gomes, who are all recovering from injuries.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario is that Real Madrid will win by more than one goal. We believe the home team will dominate and create the best goal chances, since they have the home advantage and a far superior squad. Moreover, Valencia is going through a negative period, with many defensive problems, so they will have a hard time trying to avoid conceding goals against Real.


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      Stats » Primera División » Real Madrid vs Valencia