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Topic: Hamburger SV vs Wolfsburg - Bundesliga Rnd.33 07/05/16 14:30  (Read 72 times)

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    Stats » Bundesliga Germany » Hamburger SV vs Wolfsburg

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      Analysis: Hamburger SV vs Wolfsburg (07 May 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: May 05 2016, 12:13 »

      Hamburger SV and Wolfsburg face at Volksparkstadion, in a match for the 33ª round of the Bundesliga. In the last head‑to‑head for this edition of the league, played on 12‑12‑2015, these teams have tied (1‑1). The head‑to‑head record at this stadium favours the away team, since in the last 4 head‑to‑heads they won 2, tied 2 and lost 0. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Bundesliga, on 11‑04‑2015, Wolfsburg won by (0‑2). D. Caligiuri (73' ) e J. Guilavogui (10' ) scored the goals of the match for Wolfsburg. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 11º and 10º of the league table, it’s also a match between the 12º best team in home matches and the 18º best in away matches.

      Analysis of Hamburg

      The home team is currently in the 11ª position of the league, with 38 points won, after 10 wins, 8 draws and 14 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Werder Bremen, by (2‑1). In the last match, they tied in an away match against o Mainz 05, by (0‑0). This is a team that maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since they have had similar results in both conditions. In the last 10 home league matches o Hamburger SV has a record of 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 11 points out of 30 possible.

      They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 32 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 14 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

      Hamburg comes for this match after a goalless draw in the Mainz 05 home, recording the second consecutive match without losing. Usually the coach Bruno Labbadia plays in 4-2-3-1 favoring counterattacks, mainly through the flanks. Ilicevic and Bahoul are experts in transporting the ball to attack. Recall that the weakest points of the home team are the dead balls, counterattacks and finishing. Pierre-Michel Lasogga remains the best scorer of the team with 8 goals scored this season. For this match the coach won’t count on Drmic, Adler, Jung, Porath, Hirzel, Muller, Ekdal, Hunt and Gotz, all recovering from injury.

      Analysis of Wolfsburg

      The away team is currently in the 10ª position of the league, with 39 points won, after 10 wins, 9 draws and 13 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against o Augsburg, by (0‑2). In the last match, they lost in an away match against o Borussia Dortmund, by (5‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 10 points in away matches and 29 points at their stadium, with 29 goals scored and 16 goals conceded at home, against 14 goals scored and 32 conceded in away matches. In the last 10 away league matches o Wolfsburg has a record of 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses, so they have won 5 points out of 30 possible.

      Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 32 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 13 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 16 away matches for this competition there are 1 periods that stand out: they have scored 5 of their 14 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      Wolfsburg comes for this match after a defeat at Borussia Dortmund home, adding the fourth consecutive defeat in official matches. In this match the coach Dieter Hecking must line up in the usual 4-2-3-1 with Bas Dost being the more offensive reference of the visiting team. The player is the highlight of the team in the league with 8 goals scored. To point out that Wolfsburg has enormous competence in the offensive process, however, they have weaknesses in attack-defense transition and the defensive dead balls. For this match the coach won’t count on Bruno Henrique, Draxler, Jung, Ricardo Rodriguez, Casteels and Avila, all injured.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario for this match will be both teams score at least one goal. Taking into account the type of match and the offensive style of play of the two teams, will be expectable a very open match and with great opportunities to score for both. In addition, the teams will play without goals, that is, very offensively because they have nothing to lose, making with the match end with some numbers on the scoreboard.


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