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Topic: Lazio vs Juventus - Serie A Rnd.15 04/12/15 19:45  (Read 149 times)

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    Lazio vs Juventus - Serie A Rnd.15 04/12/15 19:45
    « on: December 01 2015, 04:03 »
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    Stats » Serie A Italy » Lazio vs Juventus

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      Analysis: Lazio vs Juventus (04 December 2015)
      « Reply #1 on: December 02 2015, 11:19 »

      Lazio and Juventus face at Stadio Olimpico, in a match for the 15th round of the Serie A. The head‑to‑head record at this stadium favours the away team, since in the last 8 head‑to‑heads they won 5, tied 2 and lost 1. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Coppa Italia, on 20‑05‑2015, Juventus only reached the win by (2‑1), after extended time. Ş. Radu (4' ) scored for Lazio and G. Chiellini (11' ) and A. Matri (97' ) for Juventus. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 10th and 5th of the league table, it’s also a match between the 4th best team in home matches and the 5th best in away matches.

      Analysis of Lazio

      After 6 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses, the home team is in the 10th position, havinf won 19 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Empoli by (1‑0), after in the previous match they have tied (1‑1) at home, against Palermo. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 3 points in away matches, with 4 goals scored and 17 conceded, against 16 points won at their stadium, with 13 goals scored and 5 conceded. In the last 7 home league matches Lazio has a record of 5 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, so they have won 16 points out of 21 possible. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, as 23 of the last 27 have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In 14 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Lazio comes to this match after a 1-0 away loss against Empoli, so they register 5 consecutive matches with no wins. Their goal for this match is not to lose, so coach Stefano Pioli should present a defensive strategy and try to explore counter attacks. A key player in these offensive moves is Felipe Anderson, since he is fast and has great technical ability. But in this match coach Pioli cannot count Onazi, Stefano Mauri and Stefan de Vrij.

      Analysis of Juventus

      The away team is currently in the 5th position of the league, with 24 points won, after 7 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Milan, by (1‑0). In the last match, they won in an away match against Palermo, by (0‑3). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, with 10 goals scored and 5 conceded at home, against 10 goals scored and 6 conceded in away matches. In the last 7 away league matches Juventus has a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses, so they have won 10 points out of 21 possible. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 14 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have only turned the score around in 2. In the last 10 away matches for all competitions there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 5 of their 13 goals between minutes (76'‑90'); they have conceded 4 of their 8 goals between minutes (16'‑30').

      Coach Massimiliano Allegri comes to this match after a 3-0 over Palermo, so they now register 4 consecutive wins. Juve should play with a similar strategy, that is, in a 3-5-2 formation, with Mandzukic and Dybala in offense. The greatest absence in this match is the French Paul Pogba, who is suspended, after the 5th yellow card in the macth against Palermo.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario is that there will be more goals in the second half. We believe it will be a balanced match, particularly in the first half, since both teams will avoid taking unnecessary risks. Moreover, both home and away team usually score more goals in the second half.


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