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Topic: Benfica vs Académica - Primeira Liga Rnd.12 04/12/15 20:30  (Read 112 times)

Offline Estatísticas

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    Stats » Primeira Liga Portugal » Benfica vs Académica

    Offline Academia

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      Analysis: Benfica vs Académica (04 December 2015)
      « Reply #1 on: December 02 2015, 11:09 »

      Benfica and Académica meet at Estádio do Sport Lisboa and Benfica (da Luz), in a match for the 12th round of the Primeira Liga. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 5 head‑to‑heads they won 5. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Primeira Liga, on 11‑04‑2015, Benfica won by (5‑1). Jardel (8' ), Jonas (11' and 53' ), Lima (19' ) and L. Fejsa (84' ) scored for Benfica and Rafael Lopes (80' ) for Académica. Benfica registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

      Analysis of Benfica

      The home team is currently in the 3rd position of the league, with 21 points won, after 7 wins and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Boavista, by (2‑0). In the last match, they won in an away match against Sporting Braga, by (0‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 22 goals scored and 14 conceded; against 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 34 goals scored and 12 conceded. For the league, Benfica won 15 points out of 18 possible points, after 5 wins and 1 loss in the last 6 home matches. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 20 of the last 29 have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 10 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 4 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Benfica comes to this match motivated by a 0-2 away win over Braga. The star of the team, Nico Gaitán, couldn’t play that match, but he is once again available to face Académica, as is Andreas Samaris, who was suspended, but Luisão, Salvio, Sílvio and Nélson Semedo are still injured. Therefore, in the midfield coach Rui Vitória should use Gaitán, Pizzi, Samaris and Renato Sanches.

      Analysis of Académica

      The away team is currently in the 17th position of the league, with 7 points won, after 1 win, 4 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Estoril, by (1‑1). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Arouca, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in away matches, with 13 goals scored and 20 conceded; against 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses at their stadium, with 13 goals scored and 27 conceded. Their last away match was for the Taça de Portugal and ended in a win by (1‑4) after a penalty shootout against Trofense. In the last 5 away league matches Académica has a record of 2 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 2 points out of 15 possible.

      In this competition, they have a sequence of 4 draws in the last matches and they haven't won any of the last 5 away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 16 of the last 24 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 11 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

      Académica comes to this match unmotivated, after a 1-1 draw by 1-1, in a home match against Arouca. The students are going through a negative period and have only one a single match in the league so far. Brazilian Ricardo Nascimento stands out in the defence and is very strong in areal play. In the midfield, Fernando Alexandre stands out and usually begins the team’s offensive moves.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario is that Benfica will be in front at half-time, since they are going through a good moment, after they have confirmed qualifications for the Champions League 8th finals, and face a modest opponent at home. Therefore, the tendency is that the champion will control the match and try to score early, to avoid unnecessary efforts, since they are to face Atlético in the last Champions League group match, next Tuesday.


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