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How to bet on the over / under 2,5 market?

How to bet on the over / under 2,5 market?

A statistical analysis, as well as a good qualitative analysis, should be part of the betting decision on any market.

See how to do it using the Online Betting Academy statistics.

The following statistical analysis was performed on four matches to realize what to do when betting on the over / under 2.5 market.

Let's go through these matches one by one:

Chelsea – Wolves

chelsea-wolver-eng

It's a risky but worthwhile bet:
  • 50% of Chelsea's home matches have finished with more than 2.5 goals, although the average is clearly higher when it comes to goals scored at home;
  • 50% of Wolves' away matches have finished with more than 2.5 goals;
  • Fair Odd for the under 2,5: clearly above 2, but under 2.5.
  • Available offer for the under 2.5 market: odd of 3.10

If they offer an odd clearly above our fair odds, we'll bet!!

 
Getafe – Sport. Gijón

getafe-gijon-eng

This is a match that has everything to have more than 2.5 goals:

  • 67% of Getafe's home matches have finished with more than 2.5 goals;
  • 67% of Gijon's away matches have finished with more than 2.5 goals;
  • Fair Odd for the over 2.5: odd of 1.8
  • Offer available in the over 2.5 market: odd of 2.11
Our fair odd is well under 2, so if the available odd for the over 2.5 market is at 2.11, we'll bet!!

Liverpool – Blackburn

liverpool-blackburn-eng

Great game to exemplify the over / under 2,5 market:

  • 50% of Liverpool's home matches have finished with more than 2.5 goals;
  • 50% of Blackburn's away matches have finished with more than 2.5 goals;
  • Fair Odd for the over 2.5: odd below 2
  • Offer available in the over 2.5 market: odd of 2.14
The available odd is clearly above our fair odd, which is the result of our brief statistical analysis. Should we bet? Of course!
 

Stoke City – Man United

stoke-man united-eng
 
  • 50% of Stoke City’s home matches have finished with more than 2.5 goals;
  • 75% of Manchester United's away matches have finished with more than 2.5 goals;
  • Fair Odd for the over 2.5: odd clearly below 2
  • Offer available in the over 2.5 market: odd of 2.04

In this match there is also an available odd clearly above our fair odd. Therefore, the over 2,5 is a market that has everything to give us a profit. Let's bet?

Here are four matches that exemplify how we can use a good statistical analysis on the over / under 2.5 market.

However, we should not only rely on a good statistical analysis, it is also important to have qualitative information.

A qualitative analysis, which is personal and subjective, consists on interpreting the statistical data and match conditionings (relevant news, for example) in order to find out if there’s value in a bet. For this, it is necessary to have experience and intuition to be able to elaborate a correct qualitative analysis.

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Comments (5)


  1. Soni 10 Sep 2017 - 12:25
    Great, but what number of matches is the ideal to analyse for THE OVER / UNDER 2.5 MARKET.
  1. Mary Popins 31 Oct 2017 - 14:33
    i shall try this
  1. samo 04 May 2019 - 19:02
    Good insights
  1. ssengasimukyala 18 Jun 2019 - 08:55
    Thanks, I joined here for leaning, so let me try it.
  1. Demixl 26 Jun 2019 - 16:05
    Frankly speaking, I also use the services of guys who provide analytical forecasts for any sport from these bookmaker ratings site, as it is free and they give quite accurate predictions. For example, I've been using their analytical forecasts for a year and earned with their help a lot of money (about $ 1000 per week). By the way, I used to think that such predictions mostly are wrong, but these guys showed me the opposite ) Yes, of course, there is a risk of loss, but that's why I take their predictions for several sports and make several bets on different bookmaker sites)